Opinion: The United States Can't Win a War Against Venezuela

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Last updated: May 5, 2019 at 5:24 am

By now, there should be no soft-soaping the fact that the United States is desperate to get its hands on Venezuela’s oil. One failed coup attempt after the other, it’s driving US officials and their puppet Guiado into desperate measures.

So much so that Mike Pompeo recently said that US military intervention in Venezuela is possible. Possible, but not probable.

Under the circumstances, America cannot win the fight for regime change in Venezuela, and the longer they prolong the struggle, the more suffering they will bring to the people of Venezuela and the more blood will be on their hands. And here are some of the reasons:

Brazil will not cooperate with the United States for the use of military force in Venezuela. The Brazilian President has already said that he is only willing to use diplomatic means to remove Maduro from power, and he won’t even let US troops into the state of Roraima.
Neighboring Guyana has also expressed a position against the use of military action to oust Maduro from power.
Maduro’s military has mounted the best anti-aircraft weapons in South America, making it difficult, if not impossible, for fighter jets and bombers to survive Venezuelan skies.
Russia is watching Maduro’s back and is ready to retaliate against the United States if they attack Venezuela.
With the amount of troops loyal to Maduro, the superiority of Venezuelan weapons and the amount of armed gangs, a ground invasion into Venezuela would be extremely costly and could drag on for decades.
The military’s loyalty to Nicolas Maduro seems extremely difficult, if not impossible, to thwart.

As Donald Trump would say, “It’s impossible. It’s not going to happen. Period.” (And some hand gestures).

Can we learn something from Vietnam, Iraq, Libya…?

In summary, it’s time for the Trump Administration to give up on this pipe dream of effectiving a regime change and start negotiating with Maduro and Putin for a realistic and long awaited resolution of Venezuela’s economic crisis.